Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 770.729289 871.191213 983.733917 1119.907690 1281.218911 1467.461634 1700.573869
2025-02-09 635.337561 769.426061 933.871584 1153.499670 1443.971300 1822.062438 2363.573344
2025-02-16 551.194399 695.472208 882.375857 1147.933427 1525.247144 2058.001633 2897.976913
2025-02-23 503.822202 657.849327 866.839143 1180.137451 1654.639862 2376.698082 3624.859694
2025-03-02 463.530630 622.466750 846.547005 1198.057034 1760.727693 2676.075223 4399.062164
2025-03-09 424.058819 582.608892 813.289818 1189.127250 1819.812116 2907.505896 5118.959708
2025-03-16 387.289342 542.263022 773.747684 1163.211082 1843.940170 3080.050030 5775.906437
2025-03-23 365.144324 521.199087 760.661095 1177.217510 1937.315472 3396.506811 6837.270608
2025-03-30 335.912200 486.402486 722.034213 1142.439801 1935.422783 3525.789616 7520.424750
2025-04-06 311.183296 456.515729 688.310883 1111.661361 1935.367020 3657.573514 8258.713075
2025-04-13 288.314779 427.782267 653.829075 1075.261356 1918.185577 3748.147894 8924.721450
2025-04-20 279.728687 421.483109 656.343318 1106.826026 2043.348759 4188.520150 10787.440948
2025-04-27 268.617268 411.166469 652.747387 1130.039262 2163.708464 4672.859700 13152.816852
2025-05-04 258.690268 402.220636 651.031373 1157.563542 2301.727178 5254.325373 16318.332433
2025-05-11 245.362487 386.213034 634.775477 1153.045643 2364.325473 5652.562213 19119.879616
2025-05-18 238.052527 380.114426 636.117602 1185.247717 2522.404388 6385.882699 24119.796282
2025-05-25 229.585534 371.235604 631.257394 1203.298961 2649.038379 7075.212268 29771.782545
2025-06-01 218.741613 357.228508 615.193691 1194.313811 2702.755749 7547.628220 34883.479223
2025-06-08 206.965143 340.715373 592.831729 1168.253959 2704.851531 7842.947709 39350.302920
2025-06-15 200.306899 333.291199 587.972077 1182.338263 2824.324632 8630.782267 48796.393315
2025-06-22 189.294971 316.953857 563.739170 1147.367342 2792.969669 8815.183506 53799.105539
2025-06-29 179.485150 302.365808 542.090252 1116.419265 2768.746143 9026.299938 59618.956786
2025-07-06 169.845024 287.596617 519.088143 1079.820356 2721.004752 9123.182108 64666.371365